Kalshi markets — research now, trade at launch

Your AI quant for
prediction markets

Research catalysts, analyze mispricings, and build your view on Kalshi markets — politics, econ, crypto, weather — through a single conversation. Event trading opens at launch, with every order yours to confirm.

Free in early access — no credit card required. Trade events on paper with simulated money; live trading opens at launch.

the desk, as you'd see it — made-up example
you > Run my oil book
TOP PICK: KXOIL-26MAR07-B72
Market: WTI Crude above $72 by Friday · Price: 38¢ YES
Edge: +14 pts · My est: 52% vs market-implied 38%
Catalyst: OPEC+ emergency meeting Thursday, supply cut likely
High confidenceBUY YES @ 38¢$10 (26 contracts)
you > Stage it
Recommended orderawaiting your confirm
BUY YES @ 38¢ · 26 contracts · est. cost $9.88
Nothing places until you confirm on the review sheet.

Out-research the market, then trade with discipline

The edge in prediction markets is doing the homework. The agent does it for you — sized with Kelly, backed by a thesis, and never placed without your yes.

Catalyst research

Web + X/Twitter scanning surfaces the events moving markets — and triangulates sources before you trade on any one of them.

Edge & Kelly sizing

The agent estimates fair value, computes your edge versus the market price, and sizes with the Kelly criterion — never by gut feel.

Three launch styles

Event-Driven — the catalyst workflow — Relative Value consistency scans across related markets, and Momentum's coded rankings on equity themes. Three more styles (tail risk, mean reversion, macro thematic) are on the roadmap.

Review & place

Every trade is staged as a recommendation: the review sheet shows cost and risk, and the app places only what you confirm. Every position tracked, with live P&L whenever you ask.

Trade your view on what happens next

If you have an opinion on an event, there's probably a market for it.

Politics & electionsFed & economicsCryptoWeather & climateCompany & techCulture & awards
New to event contracts?What are prediction markets?

Powered by

KalshiAlpacaVercel AI SDKClaude · GPT · GeminiTavily SearchX API

Free in early access.

Early access runs on simulated money — research, sizing, and approval-gated paper trading across equities and prediction markets, starting with Alpaca and Kalshi. Live trading and the paid plan open at launch; early access stays free.

Stop doomscrolling for edges.
Let the agent find them.

Join early access and let the agent research your next catalyst trade — paper trade events now; live trading opens at launch.